LSU
W-L: (37-21) PR = 97.0225Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 205 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 11- 3 206 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 6- 2 206 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 7- 5 207 H Nevada MW (37-19, 95.4) 8- 0 208 H Illinois B10 (16-39, 90.0) 9- 1 208 H Lamar SL (10- 7, 92.6) 8- 0 212 H Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 0- 6 212 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 9- 4 213 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 3- 5 214 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 1- 5 215 H Notre Dame ACC (24-29, 93.0) 0- 4 217 H South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 10- 2 220 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 9- 0 221 H Michigan State B10 (18-33, 90.6) 5- 4 221 H Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 2- 1 222 A Indiana B10 (41-17, 96.2) 1- 3 224 A McNeese SL (18-11, 92.8) 9- 3 227 H Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 3- 1 227 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 11- 2 228 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 5- 3 228 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 7- 0 306 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 5 307 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 6-11 308 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 5- 8 310 A Nicholls SL ( 8-10, 92.4) 12- 2 314 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 2- 7 315 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 2- 3 316 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 7- 2 320 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 5- 6 321 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 5- 1 322 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2- 1 324 H Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 9- 0 327 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 2- 2 328 A UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 3- 2 329 H Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 4- 8 402 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 9- 1 403 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 16- 4 404 A Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 0- 1 407 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 9- 1 410 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 4- 1 411 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 3- 1 412 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 2- 4 414 A Louisiana SB (28-28, 93.2) 8- 0 417 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 6- 4 418 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 7- 6 419 H Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 8- 5 424 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 3- 5 425 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 2- 5 426 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 5- 7 428 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 16- 4 430 A Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 3- 8 502 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 25- 0 502 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 7- 2 506 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 3- 7 515 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 8- 0 516 H Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 8- 0 517 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 7- 2 522 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 7 523 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H NC State 11- 3 8 5 + 3.01
206 H Nevada 6- 2 4 2 1.68
206 H NC State 7- 5 2 5 - -2.99
207 H Nevada 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.68
208 H Illinois 9- 1 8 8 0.24
208 H Lamar 8- 0 8 5 + 2.87
212 H Nebraska 0- 6 -6 -1 -- -5.08
212 A Oklahoma State 9- 4 5 -1 ++ 5.83
213 H Duke 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.15
214 H UCF 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.51
215 H Notre Dame 0- 4 -4 5 --- -8.77
217 H South Alabama 10- 2 8 5 + 2.62
220 H Michigan State 9- 0 9 7 1.82
221 H Michigan State 5- 4 1 7 --- -6.18
221 H Louisiana 2- 1 1 5 - -3.55
222 A Indiana 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.05
224 A McNeese 9- 3 6 3 + 2.53
227 H Nicholls 3- 1 2 5 - -3.39
227 H Memphis 11- 2 9 8 0.69
228 H Iowa 5- 3 2 5 - -2.81
228 H Memphis 7- 0 7 8 -1.31
306 A Tennessee 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.37
307 A Tennessee 6-11 -5 -1 -- -4.37
308 A Tennessee 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.37
310 A Nicholls 12- 2 10 4 +++ 6.09
314 H Texas A&M 2- 7 -5 1 -- -5.98
315 H Texas A&M 2- 3 -1 1 -1.98
316 H Texas A&M 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.02
320 A South Carolina 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.31
321 A South Carolina 5- 1 4 1 + 2.69
322 A South Carolina 2- 1 1 1 -0.31
324 H Louisiana Tech 9- 0 9 5 ++ 4.02
327 A Oklahoma State 2- 2 0 -1 0.83
328 A UTSA 3- 2 1 6 -- -4.93
329 H Oklahoma 4- 8 -4 -2 -1.86
402 A Missouri 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.22
403 A Missouri 16- 4 12 2 +++ 10.22
407 H Central Arkansas 9- 1 8 6 + 2.41
410 H Arizona 4- 1 3 1 + 2.31
411 H Arizona 3- 1 2 1 1.31
412 H Arizona 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.69
414 A Louisiana 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.94
417 H Ole Miss 6- 4 2 2 -0.47
418 H Ole Miss 7- 6 1 2 -1.47
419 H Ole Miss 8- 5 3 2 0.53
424 A Mississippi State 3- 5 -2 0 -1.75
425 A Mississippi State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.75
426 H Virginia 5- 7 -2 3 -- -5.27
428 A Utah Valley 16- 4 12 5 +++ 7.04
430 A Liberty 3- 8 -5 4 --- -8.91
502 H Auburn 25- 0 25 3 +++ 10.99
502 H Auburn 7- 2 5 3 1.99
506 H Georgia 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.07
515 H Akron 8- 0 8 7 0.86
516 H Virginia Tech 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.26
517 A Virginia Tech 7- 2 5 -1 ++ 5.75
522 A Alabama 0- 7 -7 -3 -- -4.14
523 H Alabama 1- 4 -3 -1 -1.63
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H Notre Dame 0- 4 -4 5 --- -8.77 221 H Michigan State 5- 4 1 7 --- -6.18 430 A Liberty 3- 8 -5 4 --- -8.91 212 H Nebraska 0- 6 -6 -1 -- -5.08 214 H UCF 1- 5 -4 2 -- -5.51 306 A Tennessee 0- 5 -5 -1 -- -4.37 307 A Tennessee 6-11 -5 -1 -- -4.37 314 H Texas A&M 2- 7 -5 1 -- -5.98 328 A UTSA 3- 2 1 6 -- -4.93 426 H Virginia 5- 7 -2 3 -- -5.27 506 H Georgia 3- 7 -4 0 -- -4.07 522 A Alabama 0- 7 -7 -3 -- -4.14 206 H NC State 7- 5 2 5 - -2.99 213 H Duke 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.15 221 H Louisiana 2- 1 1 5 - -3.55 222 A Indiana 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.05 227 H Nicholls 3- 1 2 5 - -3.39 228 H Iowa 5- 3 2 5 - -2.81 308 A Tennessee 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.37 320 A South Carolina 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.31 412 H Arizona 2- 4 -2 1 - -2.69 425 A Mississippi State 2- 5 -3 0 - -2.75 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Nicholls 12- 2 10 4 +++ 6.09 402 A Missouri 9- 1 8 2 +++ 6.22 403 A Missouri 16- 4 12 2 +++ 10.22 428 A Utah Valley 16- 4 12 5 +++ 7.04 502 H Auburn 25- 0 25 3 +++ 10.99 516 H Virginia Tech 8- 0 8 1 +++ 7.26 207 H Nevada 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.68 212 A Oklahoma State 9- 4 5 -1 ++ 5.83 316 H Texas A&M 7- 2 5 1 ++ 4.02 324 H Louisiana Tech 9- 0 9 5 ++ 4.02 414 A Louisiana 8- 0 8 3 ++ 4.94 517 A Virginia Tech 7- 2 5 -1 ++ 5.75 205 H NC State 11- 3 8 5 + 3.01 208 H Lamar 8- 0 8 5 + 2.87 217 H South Alabama 10- 2 8 5 + 2.62 224 A McNeese 9- 3 6 3 + 2.53 321 A South Carolina 5- 1 4 1 + 2.69 407 H Central Arkansas 9- 1 8 6 + 2.41 410 H Arizona 4- 1 3 1 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 11- 3 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.43 9.83
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 6- 2 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.43 12.11
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 7- 5 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.43 9.83
3 H Nevada (37-19, 95.4) 8- 0 -4.45 14.92 -0.74 0.43 12.11
3 H Illinois (16-39, 90.0) 9- 1 -9.90 9.47 -0.74 0.43 7.46
3 H Lamar (10- 7, 92.6) 8- 0 -7.27 12.10 -0.74 0.43 9.70
3 H Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 0- 6 -1.22 18.15 -0.74 0.43 -0.42
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 9- 4 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.43 14.80
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 3- 5 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.43 -0.86
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 1- 5 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.43 -0.94
3 H Notre Dame (24-29, 93.0) 0- 4 -6.91 12.46 -0.74 0.43 -1.63
3 H South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 10- 2 -7.52 11.85 -0.74 0.43 9.49
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 9- 0 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.43 7.96
3 H Michigan State (18-33, 90.6) 5- 4 -9.31 10.06 -0.74 0.43 7.96
3 H Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 2- 1 -6.68 12.69 -0.74 0.43 10.21
3 A Indiana (41-17, 96.2) 1- 3 -3.67 15.70 0.74 0.43 -0.62
3 A McNeese (18-11, 92.8) 9- 3 -7.09 12.28 0.74 0.43 11.13
3 H Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 3- 1 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.43 9.48
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 11- 2 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.43 6.99
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 5- 3 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.43 9.99
3 H Memphis (17-38, 89.5) 7- 0 -10.44 8.93 -0.74 0.43 6.99
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0- 5 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.43 -0.48
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 6-11 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.43 -0.48
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 5- 8 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.43 -0.48
3 A Nicholls ( 8-10, 92.4) 12- 2 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.43 10.75
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 2- 7 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.43 -0.82
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 2- 3 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.43 -0.82
3 H Texas A&M (38-19, 96.8) 7- 2 -3.12 16.25 -0.74 0.43 13.25
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 5- 6 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.43 -0.90
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 5- 1 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.43 12.97
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 2- 1 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.43 12.97
3 H Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 9- 0 -7.11 12.26 -0.74 0.43 9.84
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 2- 2 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.43 0.00
3 A UTSA (24-33, 90.4) 3- 2 -9.55 9.82 0.74 0.43 9.03
3 H Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 4- 8 -0.00 19.37 -0.74 0.43 -0.16
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 9- 1 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.43 12.57
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 16- 4 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.43 12.57
3 A Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 0- 1 -5.40 13.97 0.74 0.43 -1.00
3 H Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 9- 1 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.43 9.32
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 4- 1 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.43 13.50
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 3- 1 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.43 13.50
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 2- 4 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.43 -0.76
3 A Louisiana (28-28, 93.2) 8- 0 -6.68 12.69 0.74 0.43 11.47
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 6- 4 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.43 11.98
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 7- 6 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.43 11.98
3 H Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 8- 5 -4.60 14.77 -0.74 0.43 11.98
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 3- 5 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.43 -0.56
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 2- 5 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.43 -0.56
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 5- 7 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.43 -1.31
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 16- 4 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.43 9.85
3 A Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 3- 8 -7.53 11.84 0.74 0.43 -1.45
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 25- 0 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.43 11.52
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 7- 2 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.43 11.52
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 3- 7 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.43 -0.63
3 H Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 8- 0 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.43 7.99
3 H Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 8- 0 -2.87 16.50 -0.74 0.43 13.46
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 7- 2 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.43 14.73
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 7 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.43 -0.00
3 H Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 4 -0.76 18.61 -0.74 0.43 -0.32
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387.56
|
winning pts = 402.7808 losing points = -15.2174
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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